List of men Div 1 North Carolina List of Team Values for MEN D1




PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   207 H Jacksonville           11-10       1     3    -     -2.92
   213 H High Point             20- 9      11     6           0.37
   215 H Iona                   23- 7      16    15           0.00
   220 H Johns Hopkins          17- 9       8     3    +      3.92
   227 A Penn                   11- 9       2     2          -0.22
   301 A Princeton               9-11      -2    -2           0.03
   307 H Brown                  19- 7      12     6           0.53
   314 N Penn State             10- 8       2     0    +      2.46
   321 H Army West Point        12-11       1     1          -0.90
   329 N Harvard                17- 7      10     2    ++     4.95
   404 H Syracuse               14- 9       5     0    ++     4.02
   411 A Notre Dame              5-10      -5    -2    -     -2.50
   418 A Virginia               16-15       1     0           1.59
   425 H Duke                   12-16      -4     0    --    -4.25
   501 N Syracuse               12-10       2     0           1.99
   503 N Virginia                6-16     -10     0    ---   -7.38
   509 H Albany                 24- 6      18     6           0.30
   516 N Syracuse               11-13      -2     0    -     -2.01

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 N Virginia                6-16     -10     0    ---   -7.38
   425 H Duke                   12-16      -4     0    --    -4.25
   207 H Jacksonville           11-10       1     3    -     -2.92
   411 A Notre Dame              5-10      -5    -2    -     -2.50
   516 N Syracuse               11-13      -2     0    -     -2.01

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 N Harvard                17- 7      10     2    ++     4.95
   404 H Syracuse               14- 9       5     0    ++     4.02
   220 H Johns Hopkins          17- 9       8     3    +      3.92
   314 N Penn State             10- 8       2     0    +      2.46



 RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Power Rating............. 98.37 Power Rank.................     6
 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 90.96 SOS (PR) Rank..............     2
 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7082 SOS (RPI) Rank.............     2
 RPI Rating............... .6625 RPI Rank...................     3
 Champ. Probability ......   3.3 Championship Rank .........     8
 Selection sum ...........     8 Selection Rank ............     1
 Qual Win (PR) Rating.....  135. Qual Win (PR) Rank.........     3
 Qual Win (RPI) Rating....  140. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........     3
    
 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals .....  13.8 Ave Defensive Goals .......   10.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    9.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   10.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    6.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0